World Cup 2026

A separate international-tournament model lane for World Cup fixtures, news memory, fair prices and paper tips. Club-league records stay separate from this competition.

Jake's Overs

A manual World Cup totals angle to check against the model, prices and team news before any paper tip is published.

Jake Osgathorpe · watch

Jake's Overs

Climate-controlled World Cup stadiums have been linked with higher-scoring games than outdoor venues. Treat venue environment as a totals input before accepting a standard under/over price.

Venues: Dallas, Atlanta, Houston, Los Angeles. Market: Over 2.5. Examples: England-Croatia, Netherlands-Japan.

Lean toward Over 2.5 when a match is played in Dallas, Atlanta, Houston, or Los Angeles, then require the normal model, price, and team-news checks before publishing a paper tip.

Venue angle only. Not an automatic bet and not part of the settled paper record until a priced tip clears.

Oracle Verdicts

For every fixture, the Oracle combines the model lean, active news memory and any market movement. A verdict is a research lean until a real price clears the paper-trading trigger.

Model lean · 86.0%

Mexico v South Africa

Home win at 70.1% model probability. Fair 1.43; waiting for real odds (needs 1.50+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 70.1%. Fair price 1.43; paper-tip trigger 1.50+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 80.9%

South Korea v Czechia

Home win at 62.0% model probability. Fair 1.61; waiting for real odds (needs 1.71+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 62.0%. Fair price 1.61; paper-tip trigger 1.71+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 84.5%

Canada v Bosnia & Herzegovina

Home win at 64.9% model probability. Fair 1.54; waiting for real odds (needs 1.63+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 64.9%. Fair price 1.54; paper-tip trigger 1.63+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

United States v Paraguay

Home win at 68.1% model probability. Fair 1.47; waiting for real odds (needs 1.55+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 68.1%. Fair price 1.47; paper-tip trigger 1.55+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 82.1%

Qatar v Switzerland

Away win at 62.7% model probability. Fair 1.59; waiting for real odds (needs 1.69+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 62.7%. Fair price 1.59; paper-tip trigger 1.69+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 82.3%

Brazil v Morocco

Home win at 62.3% model probability. Fair 1.61; waiting for real odds (needs 1.70+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 62.3%. Fair price 1.61; paper-tip trigger 1.70+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 76.2%

Ivory Coast v Ecuador

Away win at 58.3% model probability. Fair 1.71; waiting for real odds (needs 1.82+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 58.3%. Fair price 1.71; paper-tip trigger 1.82+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 85.9%

Haiti v Scotland

Away win at 66.0% model probability. Fair 1.51; waiting for real odds (needs 1.60+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 66.0%. Fair price 1.51; paper-tip trigger 1.60+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 78.7%

Sweden v Tunisia

Home win at 60.4% model probability. Fair 1.66; waiting for real odds (needs 1.76+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 60.4%. Fair price 1.66; paper-tip trigger 1.76+. 1 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 1. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 60.5%

Australia v Türkiye

Away win at 45.8% model probability. Fair 2.18; waiting for real odds (needs 2.36+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 45.8%. Fair price 2.18; paper-tip trigger 2.36+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Germany v Curaçao

Home win at 74.7% model probability. Fair 1.34; waiting for real odds (needs 1.40+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 74.7%. Fair price 1.34; paper-tip trigger 1.40+. 1 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 1. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Netherlands v Japan

Home win at 67.3% model probability. Fair 1.49; waiting for real odds (needs 1.57+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 67.3%. Fair price 1.49; paper-tip trigger 1.57+. 1 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 1. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Spain v Cape Verde

Home win at 75.8% model probability. Fair 1.32; waiting for real odds (needs 1.38+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 75.8%. Fair price 1.32; paper-tip trigger 1.38+. 1 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 1. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 84.0%

Belgium v Egypt

Home win at 64.1% model probability. Fair 1.56; waiting for real odds (needs 1.65+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 64.1%. Fair price 1.56; paper-tip trigger 1.65+. 2 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 2. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Saudi Arabia v Uruguay

Away win at 74.9% model probability. Fair 1.34; waiting for real odds (needs 1.40+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 74.9%. Fair price 1.34; paper-tip trigger 1.40+. 1 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 1. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Argentina v Algeria

Home win at 76.7% model probability. Fair 1.30; waiting for real odds (needs 1.37+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 76.7%. Fair price 1.30; paper-tip trigger 1.37+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 62.3%

Iran v New Zealand

Home win at 47.5% model probability. Fair 2.11; waiting for real odds (needs 2.27+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 47.5%. Fair price 2.11; paper-tip trigger 2.28+. 2 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 2. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Austria v Jordan

Home win at 70.0% model probability. Fair 1.43; waiting for real odds (needs 1.50+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 70.0%. Fair price 1.43; paper-tip trigger 1.50+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Portugal v DR Congo

Home win at 75.2% model probability. Fair 1.33; waiting for real odds (needs 1.39+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 75.2%. Fair price 1.33; paper-tip trigger 1.39+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

France v Senegal

Home win at 74.9% model probability. Fair 1.33; waiting for real odds (needs 1.40+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 74.9%. Fair price 1.34; paper-tip trigger 1.40+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 68.7%

England v Croatia

Home win at 51.4% model probability. Fair 1.95; waiting for real odds (needs 2.09+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 51.4%. Fair price 1.95; paper-tip trigger 2.09+. 2 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 2. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 79.3%

Iraq v Norway

Away win at 60.9% model probability. Fair 1.64; waiting for real odds (needs 1.74+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 60.9%. Fair price 1.64; paper-tip trigger 1.74+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 60.6%

Ghana v Panama

Home win at 45.9% model probability. Fair 2.18; waiting for real odds (needs 2.36+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 45.9%. Fair price 2.18; paper-tip trigger 2.36+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Uzbekistan v Colombia

Away win at 74.9% model probability. Fair 1.33; waiting for real odds (needs 1.40+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 74.9%. Fair price 1.34; paper-tip trigger 1.40+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 47.3%

Czechia v South Africa

Away win at 36.8% model probability. Fair 2.72; waiting for real odds (needs 3.00+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 36.8%. Fair price 2.72; paper-tip trigger 3.00+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Switzerland v Bosnia & Herzegovina

Home win at 72.7% model probability. Fair 1.38; waiting for real odds (needs 1.45+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 72.7%. Fair price 1.38; paper-tip trigger 1.44+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 64.1%

Canada v Qatar

Home win at 48.4% model probability. Fair 2.07; waiting for real odds (needs 2.23+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 48.4%. Fair price 2.07; paper-tip trigger 2.23+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 67.8%

Mexico v South Korea

Home win at 51.0% model probability. Fair 1.96; waiting for real odds (needs 2.10+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 51.0%. Fair price 1.96; paper-tip trigger 2.10+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 79.7%

United States v Australia

Home win at 60.7% model probability. Fair 1.65; waiting for real odds (needs 1.75+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 60.7%. Fair price 1.65; paper-tip trigger 1.75+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 77.9%

Scotland v Morocco

Away win at 59.3% model probability. Fair 1.69; waiting for real odds (needs 1.79+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 59.3%. Fair price 1.69; paper-tip trigger 1.79+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Ecuador v Curaçao

Home win at 72.1% model probability. Fair 1.39; waiting for real odds (needs 1.46+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 72.1%. Fair price 1.39; paper-tip trigger 1.46+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Brazil v Haiti

Home win at 75.4% model probability. Fair 1.32; waiting for real odds (needs 1.39+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 75.4%. Fair price 1.33; paper-tip trigger 1.39+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 73.3%

Türkiye v Paraguay

Home win at 56.0% model probability. Fair 1.79; waiting for real odds (needs 1.91+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 56.0%. Fair price 1.79; paper-tip trigger 1.91+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Netherlands v Sweden

Home win at 67.9% model probability. Fair 1.47; waiting for real odds (needs 1.55+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 67.9%. Fair price 1.47; paper-tip trigger 1.55+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Germany v Ivory Coast

Home win at 75.3% model probability. Fair 1.33; waiting for real odds (needs 1.39+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 75.3%. Fair price 1.33; paper-tip trigger 1.39+. 1 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 1. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 69.7%

New Zealand v Egypt

Away win at 53.5% model probability. Fair 1.87; waiting for real odds (needs 2.00+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 53.5%. Fair price 1.87; paper-tip trigger 2.00+. 2 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 2. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 79.7%

Tunisia v Japan

Away win at 61.1% model probability. Fair 1.64; waiting for real odds (needs 1.74+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 61.1%. Fair price 1.64; paper-tip trigger 1.74+. 2 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 2. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Spain v Saudi Arabia

Home win at 76.2% model probability. Fair 1.31; waiting for real odds (needs 1.38+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 76.2%. Fair price 1.31; paper-tip trigger 1.38+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Belgium v Iran

Home win at 68.0% model probability. Fair 1.47; waiting for real odds (needs 1.55+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 68.0%. Fair price 1.47; paper-tip trigger 1.55+. 2 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 2. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Uruguay v Cape Verde

Home win at 74.9% model probability. Fair 1.33; waiting for real odds (needs 1.40+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 74.9%. Fair price 1.34; paper-tip trigger 1.40+. 2 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 2. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Argentina v Austria

Home win at 76.4% model probability. Fair 1.31; waiting for real odds (needs 1.37+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 76.4%. Fair price 1.31; paper-tip trigger 1.37+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

France v Iraq

Home win at 76.3% model probability. Fair 1.31; waiting for real odds (needs 1.37+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 76.3%. Fair price 1.31; paper-tip trigger 1.37+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Panama v Croatia

Away win at 73.2% model probability. Fair 1.37; waiting for real odds (needs 1.44+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 73.2%. Fair price 1.37; paper-tip trigger 1.44+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 62.3%

Norway v Senegal

Away win at 47.0% model probability. Fair 2.13; waiting for real odds (needs 2.30+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 47.0%. Fair price 2.13; paper-tip trigger 2.30+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Colombia v DR Congo

Home win at 74.6% model probability. Fair 1.34; waiting for real odds (needs 1.41+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 74.6%. Fair price 1.34; paper-tip trigger 1.41+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Portugal v Uzbekistan

Home win at 75.6% model probability. Fair 1.32; waiting for real odds (needs 1.39+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 75.6%. Fair price 1.32; paper-tip trigger 1.39+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

England v Ghana

Home win at 75.3% model probability. Fair 1.33; waiting for real odds (needs 1.39+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 75.3%. Fair price 1.33; paper-tip trigger 1.39+. 2 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 2. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 67.2%

Jordan v Algeria

Away win at 51.6% model probability. Fair 1.94; waiting for real odds (needs 2.08+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 51.6%. Fair price 1.94; paper-tip trigger 2.08+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 71.7%

Bosnia & Herzegovina v Qatar

Away win at 55.1% model probability. Fair 1.81; waiting for real odds (needs 1.94+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 55.1%. Fair price 1.82; paper-tip trigger 1.94+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 69.6%

Switzerland v Canada

Home win at 52.6% model probability. Fair 1.90; waiting for real odds (needs 2.04+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 52.6%. Fair price 1.90; paper-tip trigger 2.04+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Morocco v Haiti

Home win at 74.5% model probability. Fair 1.34; waiting for real odds (needs 1.41+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 74.5%. Fair price 1.34; paper-tip trigger 1.41+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Scotland v Brazil

Away win at 74.8% model probability. Fair 1.34; waiting for real odds (needs 1.40+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 74.8%. Fair price 1.34; paper-tip trigger 1.40+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 47.3%

Japan v Sweden

Home win at 37.4% model probability. Fair 2.67; waiting for real odds (needs 2.95+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 37.4%. Fair price 2.67; paper-tip trigger 2.95+. 1 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 1. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Tunisia v Netherlands

Away win at 75.6% model probability. Fair 1.32; waiting for real odds (needs 1.39+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 75.6%. Fair price 1.32; paper-tip trigger 1.39+. 1 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 1. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Czechia v Mexico

Away win at 70.5% model probability. Fair 1.42; waiting for real odds (needs 1.49+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 70.5%. Fair price 1.42; paper-tip trigger 1.49+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 80.0%

South Africa v South Korea

Away win at 61.3% model probability. Fair 1.63; waiting for real odds (needs 1.73+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 61.3%. Fair price 1.63; paper-tip trigger 1.73+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 62.5%

Paraguay v Australia

Away win at 47.2% model probability. Fair 2.12; waiting for real odds (needs 2.29+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 47.2%. Fair price 2.12; paper-tip trigger 2.29+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 69.8%

Türkiye v United States

Away win at 52.7% model probability. Fair 1.90; waiting for real odds (needs 2.03+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 52.7%. Fair price 1.90; paper-tip trigger 2.03+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 76.2%

Curaçao v Ivory Coast

Away win at 58.9% model probability. Fair 1.70; waiting for real odds (needs 1.80+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 58.9%. Fair price 1.70; paper-tip trigger 1.80+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 84.8%

Ecuador v Germany

Away win at 64.5% model probability. Fair 1.55; waiting for real odds (needs 1.64+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 64.5%. Fair price 1.55; paper-tip trigger 1.64+. 1 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 1. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 60.8%

Cape Verde v Saudi Arabia

Away win at 46.3% model probability. Fair 2.16; waiting for real odds (needs 2.33+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 46.3%. Fair price 2.16; paper-tip trigger 2.34+. 1 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 1. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 81.9%

Uruguay v Spain

Away win at 61.9% model probability. Fair 1.62; waiting for real odds (needs 1.71+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 61.9%. Fair price 1.62; paper-tip trigger 1.71+. 1 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 1. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 55.3%

Egypt v Iran

Home win at 42.5% model probability. Fair 2.35; waiting for real odds (needs 2.56+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 42.5%. Fair price 2.35; paper-tip trigger 2.56+. 2 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 2. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

New Zealand v Belgium

Away win at 72.8% model probability. Fair 1.37; waiting for real odds (needs 1.44+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 72.8%. Fair price 1.37; paper-tip trigger 1.44+. 2 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 2. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Norway v France

Away win at 77.2% model probability. Fair 1.29; waiting for real odds (needs 1.36+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 77.2%. Fair price 1.30; paper-tip trigger 1.36+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Senegal v Iraq

Home win at 67.8% model probability. Fair 1.47; waiting for real odds (needs 1.55+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 67.8%. Fair price 1.47; paper-tip trigger 1.55+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 72.7%

Colombia v Portugal

Away win at 54.6% model probability. Fair 1.83; waiting for real odds (needs 1.96+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 54.6%. Fair price 1.83; paper-tip trigger 1.96+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 59.4%

DR Congo v Uzbekistan

Away win at 45.3% model probability. Fair 2.21; waiting for real odds (needs 2.40+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 45.3%. Fair price 2.21; paper-tip trigger 2.39+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 79.4%

Algeria v Austria

Away win at 60.8% model probability. Fair 1.65; waiting for real odds (needs 1.75+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 60.8%. Fair price 1.65; paper-tip trigger 1.75+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Jordan v Argentina

Away win at 76.1% model probability. Fair 1.31; waiting for real odds (needs 1.38+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 76.1%. Fair price 1.31; paper-tip trigger 1.38+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Croatia v Ghana

Home win at 69.1% model probability. Fair 1.45; waiting for real odds (needs 1.52+).

Home win is the current 1x2 lean at 69.1%. Fair price 1.45; paper-tip trigger 1.52+. No active material team-news penalty found. News memory: 0. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model lean · 86.0%

Panama v England

Away win at 75.5% model probability. Fair 1.32; waiting for real odds (needs 1.39+).

Away win is the current 1x2 lean at 75.5%. Fair price 1.32; paper-tip trigger 1.39+. 2 active news-memory item(s) applied. News memory: 2. Updated 2026-06-22 08:00.

Model Board

Neutral-venue international strength ratings adjusted by active negative team-news memory. These are fair-price estimates, not tips.

Kickoff	Match	Home	Draw	Away	Over 2.5	Rating Gap	Model
2026-06-11 20:00	Mexico v South AfricaFIFA World Cup 2026	70.1%fair 1.43	20.1%fair 4.98	9.9%fair 10.15	45.1%	220.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-12 03:00	South Korea v CzechiaFIFA World Cup 2026	62.0%fair 1.61	23.3%fair 4.30	14.8%fair 6.77	43.6%	150.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-12 20:00	Canada v Bosnia & HerzegovinaFIFA World Cup 2026	64.9%fair 1.54	22.6%fair 4.43	12.6%fair 7.96	42.2%	175.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-13 02:00	United States v ParaguayFIFA World Cup 2026	68.1%fair 1.47	20.8%fair 4.82	11.1%fair 8.98	45.5%	195.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-13 20:00	Qatar v SwitzerlandFIFA World Cup 2026	14.7%fair 6.81	22.6%fair 4.42	62.7%fair 1.59	45.8%	-150.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-13 23:00	Brazil v MoroccoFIFA World Cup 2026	62.3%fair 1.61	21.7%fair 4.61	16.0%fair 6.24	51.6%	135.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-14 00:00	Ivory Coast v EcuadorFIFA World Cup 2026	17.4%fair 5.75	24.3%fair 4.12	58.3%fair 1.71	43.9%	-125.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-14 02:00	Haiti v ScotlandFIFA World Cup 2026	11.6%fair 8.60	22.3%fair 4.47	66.0%fair 1.51	41.2%	-190.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-14 03:00	Sweden v TunisiaFIFA World Cup 2026	60.4%fair 1.66	23.9%fair 4.19	15.8%fair 6.34	43.0%	140.19	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-14 05:00	Australia v TürkiyeFIFA World Cup 2026	27.6%fair 3.62	26.5%fair 3.77	45.8%fair 2.18	45.1%	-50.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-14 18:00	Germany v CuraçaoFIFA World Cup 2026	74.7%fair 1.34	18.2%fair 5.49	7.1%fair 14.17	44.1%	420.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-14 21:00	Netherlands v JapanFIFA World Cup 2026	67.3%fair 1.49	20.5%fair 4.88	12.2%fair 8.19	49.0%	175.19	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-15 17:00	Spain v Cape VerdeFIFA World Cup 2026	75.8%fair 1.32	17.3%fair 5.78	6.9%fair 14.49	46.9%	470.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-15 20:00	Belgium v EgyptFIFA World Cup 2026	64.1%fair 1.56	22.1%fair 4.52	13.7%fair 7.29	45.8%	160.07	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-15 23:00	Saudi Arabia v UruguayFIFA World Cup 2026	7.2%fair 13.87	17.9%fair 5.58	74.9%fair 1.34	45.6%	-280.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-16 02:00	Argentina v AlgeriaFIFA World Cup 2026	76.7%fair 1.30	16.6%fair 6.03	6.8%fair 14.79	49.2%	410.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-16 02:00	Iran v New ZealandFIFA World Cup 2026	47.5%fair 2.11	27.5%fair 3.64	25.1%fair 3.98	40.3%	65.07	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-16 05:00	Austria v JordanFIFA World Cup 2026	70.0%fair 1.43	20.5%fair 4.87	9.5%fair 10.53	42.7%	230.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-16 18:00	Portugal v DR CongoFIFA World Cup 2026	75.2%fair 1.33	17.8%fair 5.62	7.0%fair 14.32	45.4%	430.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-16 20:00	France v SenegalFIFA World Cup 2026	74.9%fair 1.33	17.0%fair 5.87	8.1%fair 12.41	51.7%	250.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-16 21:00	England v CroatiaFIFA World Cup 2026	51.4%fair 1.95	24.4%fair 4.09	24.2%fair 4.14	50.9%	72.98	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-16 23:00	Iraq v NorwayFIFA World Cup 2026	15.3%fair 6.54	23.8%fair 4.20	60.9%fair 1.64	42.6%	-145.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-17 00:00	Ghana v PanamaFIFA World Cup 2026	45.9%fair 2.18	27.5%fair 3.64	26.6%fair 3.75	41.1%	55.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-17 03:00	Uzbekistan v ColombiaFIFA World Cup 2026	7.1%fair 14.14	18.0%fair 5.54	74.9%fair 1.33	44.8%	-285.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-18 17:00	Czechia v South AfricaFIFA World Cup 2026	35.0%fair 2.86	28.2%fair 3.54	36.8%fair 2.72	40.9%	-5.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-18 20:00	Switzerland v Bosnia & HerzegovinaFIFA World Cup 2026	72.7%fair 1.38	19.2%fair 5.22	8.1%fair 12.34	43.8%	260.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-18 23:00	Canada v QatarFIFA World Cup 2026	48.4%fair 2.07	26.4%fair 3.79	25.3%fair 3.96	44.2%	65.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-19 02:00	Mexico v South KoreaFIFA World Cup 2026	51.0%fair 1.96	25.2%fair 3.98	23.8%fair 4.20	47.7%	75.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-19 20:00	United States v AustraliaFIFA World Cup 2026	60.7%fair 1.65	23.0%fair 4.34	16.2%fair 6.17	46.6%	135.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-19 23:00	Scotland v MoroccoFIFA World Cup 2026	17.3%fair 5.78	23.4%fair 4.28	59.3%fair 1.69	47.0%	-125.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-20 01:00	Ecuador v CuraçaoFIFA World Cup 2026	72.1%fair 1.39	19.9%fair 5.03	8.0%fair 12.44	41.2%	265.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-20 02:00	Brazil v HaitiFIFA World Cup 2026	75.4%fair 1.32	17.6%fair 5.68	7.0%fair 14.38	46.0%	450.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-20 02:00	Türkiye v ParaguayFIFA World Cup 2026	56.0%fair 1.79	24.9%fair 4.02	19.1%fair 5.23	44.0%	110.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-20 18:00	Netherlands v SwedenFIFA World Cup 2026	67.9%fair 1.47	20.3%fair 4.93	11.8%fair 8.46	48.9%	180.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-20 21:00	Germany v Ivory CoastFIFA World Cup 2026	75.3%fair 1.33	17.6%fair 5.69	7.1%fair 13.99	46.7%	280.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-21 02:00	New Zealand v EgyptFIFA World Cup 2026	20.4%fair 4.91	26.1%fair 3.83	53.5%fair 1.87	41.0%	-100.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-21 02:00	Tunisia v JapanFIFA World Cup 2026	15.3%fair 6.54	23.6%fair 4.23	61.1%fair 1.64	43.1%	-145.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-21 17:00	Spain v Saudi ArabiaFIFA World Cup 2026	76.2%fair 1.31	17.0%fair 5.90	6.8%fair 14.63	48.0%	410.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-21 20:00	Belgium v IranFIFA World Cup 2026	68.0%fair 1.47	20.9%fair 4.79	11.2%fair 8.96	45.2%	195.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-21 23:00	Uruguay v Cape VerdeFIFA World Cup 2026	74.9%fair 1.33	18.1%fair 5.53	7.0%fair 14.21	44.5%	340.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-22 18:00	Argentina v AustriaFIFA World Cup 2026	76.4%fair 1.31	16.4%fair 6.11	7.2%fair 13.83	51.7%	270.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-22 22:00	France v IraqFIFA World Cup 2026	76.3%fair 1.31	16.9%fair 5.92	6.8%fair 14.65	48.2%	450.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-23 00:00	Panama v CroatiaFIFA World Cup 2026	8.0%fair 12.43	18.8%fair 5.32	73.2%fair 1.37	44.9%	-260.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-23 01:00	Norway v SenegalFIFA World Cup 2026	26.9%fair 3.72	26.1%fair 3.83	47.0%fair 2.13	46.3%	-55.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-23 03:00	Colombia v DR CongoFIFA World Cup 2026	74.6%fair 1.34	18.3%fair 5.46	7.1%fair 14.13	43.8%	340.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-23 18:00	Portugal v UzbekistanFIFA World Cup 2026	75.6%fair 1.32	17.5%fair 5.73	6.9%fair 14.44	46.4%	375.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-23 21:00	England v GhanaFIFA World Cup 2026	75.3%fair 1.33	17.5%fair 5.72	7.2%fair 13.90	47.2%	277.98	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-24 00:00	Jordan v AlgeriaFIFA World Cup 2026	21.7%fair 4.62	26.8%fair 3.74	51.6%fair 1.94	40.0%	-90.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-24 20:00	Bosnia & Herzegovina v QatarFIFA World Cup 2026	19.2%fair 5.22	25.8%fair 3.88	55.1%fair 1.81	41.0%	-110.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-24 20:00	Switzerland v CanadaFIFA World Cup 2026	52.6%fair 1.90	25.0%fair 4.00	22.4%fair 4.47	47.0%	85.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-24 23:00	Morocco v HaitiFIFA World Cup 2026	74.5%fair 1.34	18.4%fair 5.43	7.1%fair 14.10	43.5%	315.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-24 23:00	Scotland v BrazilFIFA World Cup 2026	7.8%fair 12.86	17.4%fair 5.75	74.8%fair 1.34	49.4%	-260.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-25 00:00	Japan v SwedenFIFA World Cup 2026	37.4%fair 2.67	27.0%fair 3.71	35.6%fair 2.81	45.7%	4.81	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-25 00:00	Tunisia v NetherlandsFIFA World Cup 2026	6.9%fair 14.43	17.5%fair 5.72	75.6%fair 1.32	46.3%	-320.19	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-25 02:00	Czechia v MexicoFIFA World Cup 2026	9.6%fair 10.41	19.9%fair 5.02	70.5%fair 1.42	45.0%	-225.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-25 02:00	South Africa v South KoreaFIFA World Cup 2026	15.3%fair 6.55	23.5%fair 4.26	61.3%fair 1.63	43.7%	-145.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-25 03:00	Paraguay v AustraliaFIFA World Cup 2026	26.0%fair 3.85	26.8%fair 3.73	47.2%fair 2.12	43.0%	-60.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-25 03:00	Türkiye v United StatesFIFA World Cup 2026	22.4%fair 4.47	24.9%fair 4.02	52.7%fair 1.90	47.5%	-85.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-25 21:00	Curaçao v Ivory CoastFIFA World Cup 2026	15.9%fair 6.29	25.2%fair 3.97	58.9%fair 1.70	38.9%	-140.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-25 21:00	Ecuador v GermanyFIFA World Cup 2026	14.1%fair 7.11	21.5%fair 4.66	64.5%fair 1.55	49.0%	-155.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-26 01:00	Cape Verde v Saudi ArabiaFIFA World Cup 2026	25.8%fair 3.88	27.9%fair 3.59	46.3%fair 2.16	39.3%	-60.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-26 01:00	Uruguay v SpainFIFA World Cup 2026	16.5%fair 6.05	21.6%fair 4.63	61.9%fair 1.62	52.9%	-130.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-26 04:00	Egypt v IranFIFA World Cup 2026	42.5%fair 2.35	27.6%fair 3.62	29.9%fair 3.34	42.2%	34.93	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-26 04:00	New Zealand v BelgiumFIFA World Cup 2026	8.1%fair 12.36	19.1%fair 5.23	72.8%fair 1.37	44.0%	-260.07	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-26 20:00	Norway v FranceFIFA World Cup 2026	6.7%fair 14.99	16.1%fair 6.20	77.2%fair 1.29	50.7%	-305.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-26 20:00	Senegal v IraqFIFA World Cup 2026	67.8%fair 1.47	21.2%fair 4.71	11.0%fair 9.12	43.6%	200.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-27 00:30	Colombia v PortugalFIFA World Cup 2026	21.7%fair 4.61	23.7%fair 4.22	54.6%fair 1.83	51.5%	-90.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-27 00:30	DR Congo v UzbekistanFIFA World Cup 2026	26.5%fair 3.78	28.3%fair 3.54	45.3%fair 2.21	38.4%	-55.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-27 03:00	Algeria v AustriaFIFA World Cup 2026	15.8%fair 6.35	23.5%fair 4.26	60.8%fair 1.65	44.3%	-140.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-27 03:00	Jordan v ArgentinaFIFA World Cup 2026	6.9%fair 14.58	17.1%fair 5.86	76.1%fair 1.31	47.6%	-500.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-27 22:00	Croatia v GhanaFIFA World Cup 2026	69.1%fair 1.45	20.3%fair 4.92	10.6%fair 9.46	45.9%	205.00	wc26_neutral_strength_v1
2026-06-27 22:00	Panama v EnglandFIFA World Cup 2026	6.9%fair 14.41	17.5%fair 5.71	75.5%fair 1.32	46.2%	-332.98	wc26_neutral_strength_v1

Opening Lines And Movement

Bookmaker opening prices become the anchor. Daily snapshots then show whether the market is drifting, shortening, or reacting to team news.

Match	Bookmaker	Market	Selection	Opening	Current	Move	Implied Move	Last Seen
No bookmaker opening lines have been ingested yet. Add The Odds API, Betfair, or a scraper/CSV import and this will show opening price, current price and direction of travel.

OddsPortal Monitor

A polite public-page check for World Cup bookmaker markets. No login, no CAPTCHA bypass, no hidden browser tricks.

Status: OddsPortal has no World Cup bookmaker odds available yet.

Last checked: 2026-05-11 11:03. Quotes ingested: 0. HTTP: 200.

OddsPortal World Cup page

World Cup Paper Tips

Tips only appear when a real available price clears edge, confidence and liquidity filters.

Match	Selection	Odds	Model	Edge	Confidence	Rationale
No World Cup paper tips yet. The model board is live, but public tips need real odds quotes first.

World Cup News

Matched team news from the same RSS/news layer as the main football model.

70.0% · Belgium, Iran

Ten-man Belgium remain winless after draw with Iran

Goalkeeper Alireza Beiranvand made a string of impressive saves to keep alive Iran's hopes of reaching the World Cup knockout stage for the first time, as they earned a hard-fought point against 10-man Belgium.

70.0% · Tunisia, Japan

Goalline technology denies Japan goal by fractions

Tunisia goalkeeper Aymen Dahmen makes an "unbelievable save" to prevent Japan from doubling their lead by the finest of margins, in their 2026 World Cup match at Estadio Monterrey.

63.0% · England

All three England keepers played there - Carlisle's role in trio's rise

From west Cumbria to the World Cup, Carlisle is England's goalkeeper factory, with all of Thomas Tuchel's goalkeepers passing through the club.

World Cup Memory

Material news gets carried forward into the next scoring pass rather than disappearing after the headline moves on.

availability · 72.1%

Belgium

Ten-man Belgium remain winless after draw with Iran

availability · 72.1%

Iran

Ten-man Belgium remain winless after draw with Iran

availability · 63.4%

England

All three England keepers played there - Carlisle's role in trio's rise