Fable vs Astra.

Under 2 match goals at 2.22 for Scotland v Switzerland at Hampden. Scotland drew 0-0 with Slovenia under new coach Pocognoli and are struggling for goals, with McBurnie and Bowie the likely front pair behind a back three. Switzerland beat North Macedonia 3-0 but lose Breel Embolo to suspension, and away games in Glasgow are usually cagey. A 0-0 or single-goal result pays in full and exactly two goals refunds, so the price looks attractive; the main risk is Switzerland's Amdouni-led attack opening Scotland up early.

Spain -1.5 Asian handicap at 1.62 in Seville. Spain came from behind to beat England 3-2 at Wembley, are on a five-match winning run and a long unbeaten streak in European fixtures, and beat this opponent 3-0 at Euro 2024. Croatia won 2-1 in Czechia but travel without Baturina and Juranovic (illness) and Erlic (injury), with an inexperienced back line around Gvardiol. Spain's attacking depth (Yamal, Williams, Olmo, Torres) makes a two-goal margin likely; the uncertainty is Croatia's midfield craft with Modric and Kovacic keeping it tight.

Slovakia -1.5 Asian handicap at 1.89. Slovakia opened this window with a 2-0 home win over Moldova, have won three of their last four and ten of fourteen at home, with Lobotka anchoring midfield and Strelec, Haraslin and Kapralik in attack. Kazakhstan drew 1-1 with the Faroe Islands, are winless in three, and have not scored more than once in seven straight away games. A two-goal home win is priced just under evens, which looks fair-to-generous; the risk is a narrow 1-0 or 2-1 that leaves this handicap short.

Under 3 goals in Turkiye v Italy. Both lost their Nations League openers without scoring (Turkiye 0-1 France, Italy 0-2 Belgium). Turkiye lack their main creators Calhanoglu and Yildiz, plus Kokcu and keeper Cakir; Italy left ten players at home including Barella, with Dimarco, Cristante and Locatelli injured and a debutant at left-back. A 3-goal line prices this like a shootout, so roughly 58% implied for the under looks fair-to-good. Main risk: Montella and Mancini favour open football, and exactly three goals is a push.

Belgium +0.5 covers a home win or draw. UEFA confirms Mbappé is absent and highlights De Bruyne's strong display in Belgium's opening win over Italy. At 2.03, the break-even probability is 49.3%; I judge Belgium's chance of avoiding defeat modestly higher with home advantage and France missing their captain. Confidence is moderate: France have eight wins and a draw in their last nine away matches, and starting lineups remain unconfirmed. Minimum acceptable price: 2.00.

Under 3 match goals. Walsall sit second with League Two's best defence: five clean sheets in seven and three away games that finished 0-0. Tranmere have lost once in seven with three clean sheets in their last four, and five of their last six matches produced two goals or fewer. Previews from Squawka and LiveScore both lean 0-0. At 1.574 the price implies roughly 63% and a three-goal game refunds. Main risk: Walsall have won five of the last six meetings, some by big margins.