One model pick for every supported fixture today, with the price and reasoning shown.
One zero-stake model selection per supported fixture taking place today.
FIFA World Cup 2026 - Quarter-final
Under 2.5
Value threshold 2.295+ · The Odds API soccer_fifa_world_cup: Matchbook
stress probability 45.3%; price 2.14; conservative EV -3.0%; break-even odds 2.206; bet odds 2.295 for 4% EV; recommendation no_bet_rechecked_price; fresh price check from The Odds API soccer_fifa_world_cup: Matchbook (API); decision: price below World Cup EV...
Proof only: Norway v England Under 2.5; stake cap 0.02u; no income stake; record only after a real bookmaker proof slip meets the Needed price and cap.
Not ready for income staking: 0 actual placements; broad positive-EV backtest ROI -3.1%; 0 settled actual bookmaker placements; default 5% EV gate has 6 historical bets
| Match | Market | Selection | Seen | Needed | Model | EV | Cap | Source and rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway v England 2026-07-11 21:00:00 UT | Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 2.16 | 2.053+ | 50.7% | 9.4% | 0.02u | The Odds API soccer_fifa_world_cup: Coolbet (API) Proof-only candidate from the live daily decision engine; not an income stake. stress probability 50.7%; price 2.16; conservative EV 9.4%; break-even odds 1.974; bet odds 2.053 for 4% EV; recommendation best_bet_candida... |
| Fixture | Status | News used | Source | Checked |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain v Belgium 2026-07-10 19:00:00 UT | news_matched | injury: Experts update Spain vs. Belgium predictions due to Nico Williams and Yeremy Pino injury update - Syracuse.com | injury: Spain XI vs Belgium: Confirmed team news, predicted lineup and injury latest for World Cup 2026 - London Evening Standard | lineup... | source 1 source 2 source 3 | 2026-07-10 10:39:16.47 |
| Norway v England 2026-07-11 21:00:00 UT | news_matched | injury: Newcastle United’s Dan Burn in-line for England v Norway start after major injury scare - Northumberland Gazette | injury: England suffer injury concerns before Norway with hamstring issue and sickness bug - The Mirror | injury: Marc Guehi could miss... | source 1 source 2 source 3 | 2026-07-10 10:39:16.47 |