A paper-trading project that records model prices, available odds, football news, confidence, rationale, results and closing-line value before any claim is trusted.
16 May 2026 · The daily scan found 19 strict-scope fixtures and 9 odds-covered fixtures. No price cleared the gate: 45 candidates did not clear the required edge; 29 candidates had non-positive expected value; 11 candidates needed a named catalyst for a long draw or away win.
No qualified paper tips today. No price cleared the gate: 45 candidates did not clear the required edge; 29 candidates had non-positive expected value; 11 candidates needed a named catalyst for a long draw or away win. · Open the full brief
Current selections from the paper-trading feed.
Home DNB at 1.48. Post-review Spurs-side counter-signal. The straight 1X2 model overreacted to Tottenham injuries, but Spurs are in a relegation survival spot and Leeds are not under the same pressure. The cleaner expression is Tottenham draw-no-bet / Asian handicap 0 rather than Tottenham outright. Paper trading only; this does not cancel the existing Leeds away-win paper tip. Settled 1-1: draw-no-bet pushed, so no profit or loss.
Draw at 4.28. Spartak Moscow v Rubin: Draw flagged by the regular-football market-consensus scan. Best available API-Football snapshot price was 4.28 at 1xBet; consensus fair probability was 27.9%. Paper trading only. Post-publication note: kept in the public record. This came from the first experimental regular-football memory scan; league scope and away-win guards were tightened after review. Settled 2-1: lost for -10.00u.
Draw at 3.50. Nizhny Novgorod v CSKA Moscow: Draw flagged by the regular-football market-consensus scan. Best available API-Football snapshot price was 3.50 at 1xBet; consensus fair probability was 32.9%. Paper trading only. Post-publication note: kept in the public record. This came from the first experimental regular-football memory scan; league scope and away-win guards were tightened after review. Settled 1-2: lost for -10.00u.
Draw at 4.32. Dynamo v FC Krasnodar: Draw flagged by the regular-football market-consensus scan. Best available API-Football snapshot price was 4.32 at 1xBet; consensus fair probability was 27.6%. Paper trading only. Post-publication note: kept in the public record. This came from the first experimental regular-football memory scan; league scope and away-win guards were tightened after review. Settled 2-1: lost for -10.00u.
Team-news and football RSS items matched to watched games.
Borussia Mönchengladbach list N. Ngoumou as missing fixture for Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim: Muscle Injury.
VfL Wolfsburg list J. Wind as missing fixture for FC St. Pauli v VfL Wolfsburg: Muscle Injury.
FSV Mainz 05 list Silas as missing fixture for 1. FC Heidenheim v FSV Mainz 05: Broken shinbone.
Classified signals carried forward into future match review.
Borussia Mönchengladbach: R. Reitz Missing Fixture - Illness
Borussia Mönchengladbach: T. Kleindienst Missing Fixture - Knee Injury
1899 Hoffenheim: V. Gendrey Missing Fixture - Ankle Injury