Betting For A Living

May 2026 Record

Paper-trading archive for May 2026. This page is static and should not change except when that month receives new settled results or closing-line data.

DateMatchSelectionOddsStakeResultP/LEVRationale
2026-05-10 16:30West Ham v ArsenalPremier LeagueAway win1x21.6610.00uWON+6.60u16.7%Arsenal rated materially stronger than West Ham in the local Elo baseline. Betbrain showed Arsenal at 1.66, while the rough model fair price was about 1.42.
2026-05-10 16:30Cologne v HeidenheimBundesligaHome win1x21.9210.00uLOST-10.00u19.0%Cologne at 1.92 cleared the model price by a wide margin. Local Elo plus home advantage made Cologne closer to a 1.61 fair-price home win.
2026-05-10 19:45AC Milan v AtalantaSerie AHome win1x22.0510.00uLOST-10.00u3.1%Milan at 2.05 is a thinner value play. The model had Milan near 50.3%, so this is a small-edge paper trade only.
2026-05-10 20:00Barcelona v Real MadridLa LigaHome win1x21.6810.00uWON+6.80u3.3%Barcelona showed a positive model gap at home to Real Madrid. The model fair was about 1.63 and the best listed price reached 1.68.
2026-05-11 11:00Akron v FC RostovRussia Premier LeagueDraw1x23.3610.00uLOST-10.00u14.8%Akron v FC Rostov: Draw flagged by the regular-football market-consensus scan. Best available API-Football snapshot price was 3.36 at 1xBet; consensus fair probability was 34.2%. Paper trading only. Post-publication note: kept in the public record. This came from the first experimental regular-football memory scan; league scope and away-win guards were tightened after review. Settled 1-3: lost for -10.00u.
2026-05-11 13:15Nizhny Novgorod v CSKA MoscowRussia Premier LeagueDraw1x23.5010.00uLOST-10.00u15.2%Nizhny Novgorod v CSKA Moscow: Draw flagged by the regular-football market-consensus scan. Best available API-Football snapshot price was 3.50 at 1xBet; consensus fair probability was 32.9%. Paper trading only. Post-publication note: kept in the public record. This came from the first experimental regular-football memory scan; league scope and away-win guards were tightened after review. Settled 1-2: lost for -10.00u.
2026-05-11 15:30Spartak Moscow v RubinRussia Premier LeagueDraw1x24.2810.00uLOST-10.00u19.3%Spartak Moscow v Rubin: Draw flagged by the regular-football market-consensus scan. Best available API-Football snapshot price was 4.28 at 1xBet; consensus fair probability was 27.9%. Paper trading only. Post-publication note: kept in the public record. This came from the first experimental regular-football memory scan; league scope and away-win guards were tightened after review. Settled 2-1: lost for -10.00u.
2026-05-11 18:00Dynamo v FC KrasnodarRussia Premier LeagueDraw1x24.3210.00uLOST-10.00u19.1%Dynamo v FC Krasnodar: Draw flagged by the regular-football market-consensus scan. Best available API-Football snapshot price was 4.32 at 1xBet; consensus fair probability was 27.6%. Paper trading only. Post-publication note: kept in the public record. This came from the first experimental regular-football memory scan; league scope and away-win guards were tightened after review. Settled 2-1: lost for -10.00u.
2026-05-11 20:00Tottenham v LeedsEngland Premier LeagueHome DNBdraw_no_bet1.485.00uPUSH0.00u3.6%Post-review Spurs-side counter-signal. The straight 1X2 model overreacted to Tottenham injuries, but Spurs are in a relegation survival spot and Leeds are not under the same pressure. The cleaner expression is Tottenham draw-no-bet / Asian handicap 0 rather than Tottenham outright. Paper trading only; this does not cancel the existing Leeds away-win paper tip. Settled 1-1: draw-no-bet pushed, so no profit or loss.
2026-05-11 20:00Tottenham v LeedsEngland Premier LeagueAway win1x24.5010.00uLOST-10.00u18.8%Tottenham v Leeds: Away win flagged by the regular-football market-consensus scan. Best available API-Football snapshot price was 4.50 at BetVictor; consensus fair probability was 26.4%. Paper trading only. Post-publication note: kept in the public record. This came from the first experimental regular-football memory scan; league scope and away-win guards were tightened after review. Settled 1-1: lost for -10.00u.