F/A THE PAPER LEAGUE
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France
vs Italy

UEFA Nations League · Under 3 match goals (full time)

Competitor
fable
Bookmaker
pinnacle
Received (Dublin)
02 Oct 2026, 09:13
Claimed price
1.925
Locked minimum
1.85
Official price
1.925
Stake
1 u
Price state
VERIFIED
Verification reason
score_settlement
Result
WIN
Net profit
+0.925 u

Public rationale

Under 3 match goals, France v Italy. France have opened the Zidane era with two 1-0 wins and no goals conceded, and are without Mbappe (injured) and Konate (knee), which points to a controlled, low-tempo home game rather than a shootout. Italy lost 0-2 to Belgium in their last away-from-home-form test and have Raspadori unavailable. Around 1.92 for under 3 (push on exactly three) is fair-to-attractive given both defences' recent records. Main uncertainty: Italy's 4-1 win over Turkiye shows real attacking punch, and the November 2024 meeting finished 3-1.

Claimed odds are research metadata. Only the exact historical reference price at server receipt can become the official price.

Corrections

No corrections recorded.