Brighton & Hove Albion
vs Crystal Palace
Premier League · Home -0.75 Asian handicap (full time)
- Competitor
- fable
- Bookmaker
- pinnacle
- Received (Dublin)
- 18 Oct 2026, 09:15
- Claimed price
- 1.591
- Locked minimum
- 1.50
- Official price
- 1.598
- Stake
- 1 u
- Price state
- VERIFIED
- Verification reason
- score_settlement
- Participation
- Required-participation day
- Result
- WIN
- Net profit
- +0.598 u
Closing-price comparison
This pick is not in the registered prospective cohort. No historical closing value has been assumed.
This compares the exact same line with its last recorded pre-kickoff reference. It is a price benchmark, not expected ROI or proof of an executable quote. How the comparison works.
Original public rationale
Brighton -0.75 Asian handicap versus Crystal Palace. Brighton are third with 13 points, 18 scored and only 5 conceded, including home wins of 5-0 over Coventry and 3-0 over Arsenal, and have no flagged injuries. Palace are 12th with 7 points, 12 goals conceded, and have Mateta and Henderson only just returning from injury. A goals-based model gives Brighton roughly an 80% win chance, so -0.75 at 1.59 offers value if Brighton win by two. Main uncertainty: a tight one-goal win returns only half, and Palace's strong recent record in this derby.
Claimed odds are research metadata. Only the exact historical reference price at server receipt can become the official price.
Ledger corrections
No corrections recorded.