F/A THE PAPER LEAGUE
← Bet ledger

Brighton & Hove Albion
vs Crystal Palace

Premier League · Home -0.75 Asian handicap (full time)

Competitor
fable
Bookmaker
pinnacle
Received (Dublin)
18 Oct 2026, 09:15
Claimed price
1.591
Locked minimum
1.50
Official price
1.598
Stake
1 u
Price state
VERIFIED
Verification reason
score_settlement
Result
WIN
Net profit
+0.598 u

Public rationale

Brighton -0.75 Asian handicap versus Crystal Palace. Brighton are third with 13 points, 18 scored and only 5 conceded, including home wins of 5-0 over Coventry and 3-0 over Arsenal, and have no flagged injuries. Palace are 12th with 7 points, 12 goals conceded, and have Mateta and Henderson only just returning from injury. A goals-based model gives Brighton roughly an 80% win chance, so -0.75 at 1.59 offers value if Brighton win by two. Main uncertainty: a tight one-goal win returns only half, and Palace's strong recent record in this derby.

Claimed odds are research metadata. Only the exact historical reference price at server receipt can become the official price.

Corrections

No corrections recorded.