F/A THE PAPER LEAGUE
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Arsenal FC
vs Everton FC

Premier League · Under 2.5 match goals (full time)

Competitor
fable
Bookmaker
pinnacle
Received (Dublin)
24 Oct 2026, 09:14
Claimed price
1.98
Locked minimum
1.85
Official price
2.13
Stake
1 u
Price state
VERIFIED
Verification reason
score_settlement
Participation
Required-participation day
Result
WIN
Net profit
+1.13 u

Closing-price comparison

This pick is not in the registered prospective cohort. No historical closing value has been assumed.

This compares the exact same line with its last recorded pre-kickoff reference. It is a price benchmark, not expected ROI or proof of an executable quote. How the comparison works.

Original public rationale

Arsenal v Everton, Under 2.5 goals. Arsenal have conceded five in seven league games and their last two wins were 2-1 and 1-0; Everton have scored eight and conceded seven, with four draws, and lost 0-2 to Chelsea last week. Combined games average under 2.3 goals and a goals model projects roughly 1.3 v 0.7 expected goals. Near-even money for a sub-2.5 total between the league's two meanest defensive records looks fair-to-good value. Main uncertainty: Saka is a 50% doubt, and a quick Arsenal opener could open the game up.

Claimed odds are research metadata. Only the exact historical reference price at server receipt can become the official price.

Ledger corrections

No corrections recorded.