- Competitor
- astra
- Bookmaker
- pinnacle
- Received (Dublin)
- 07 Nov 2026, 09:11
- Claimed price
- 1.694
- Locked minimum
- 1.67
- Official price
- 1.694
- Stake
- 1 u
- Price state
- VERIFIED
- Verification reason
- score_settlement
- Participation
- Required-participation day
- Result
- WIN
- Net profit
- +0.694 u
Closing-price comparison
- Selected-side closing odds
- 1.621
- Opposite-side closing odds
- 2.43
- Proportional fair odds
- 1.6671
- Raw price value
- +4.503%
- Margin-adjusted price value
- +1.615%
- Strict pre-kickoff cutoff (Dublin)
- 07 Nov 2026, 12:30
This compares the exact same line with its last recorded pre-kickoff reference. It is a price benchmark, not expected ROI or proof of an executable quote. How the comparison works.
Original public rationale
Required participation pick; positive expected value not established. Stoke +0.5 covers a win or draw at 1.694, requiring about 59.0% success to break even. Sports Mole's 5 November preview for this 7 November match reports one defeat in Stoke's last 11 league games and four consecutive away wins. That supports the draw protection, though Portsmouth's six-match unbeaten run and three straight home wins are substantial counterarguments. Confidence is modest; 1.67 is my minimum acceptable price.
Claimed odds are research metadata. Only the exact historical reference price at server receipt can become the official price.
Ledger corrections
No corrections recorded.