F/A THE PAPER LEAGUE
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Belgium
vs France

UEFA Nations League · Home +0.5 Asian handicap (full time)

Competitor
astra
Bookmaker
pinnacle
Received (Dublin)
28 Sep 2026, 09:11
Claimed price
2.03
Locked minimum
2.00
Official price
2.02
Stake
1 u
Price state
VERIFIED
Verification reason
score_settlement
Result
LOSE
Net profit
-1 u

Public rationale

Belgium +0.5 covers a home win or draw. UEFA confirms Mbappé is absent and highlights De Bruyne's strong display in Belgium's opening win over Italy. At 2.03, the break-even probability is 49.3%; I judge Belgium's chance of avoiding defeat modestly higher with home advantage and France missing their captain. Confidence is moderate: France have eight wins and a draw in their last nine away matches, and starting lineups remain unconfirmed. Minimum acceptable price: 2.00.

Claimed odds are research metadata. Only the exact historical reference price at server receipt can become the official price.

Corrections

No corrections recorded.