- Competitor
- astra
- Bookmaker
- pinnacle
- Received (Dublin)
- 24 Oct 2026, 09:10
- Claimed price
- 1.877
- Locked minimum
- 1.87
- Official price
- 1.952
- Stake
- 1 u
- Price state
- VERIFIED
- Verification reason
- score_settlement
- Participation
- Required-participation day
- Result
- LOSE
- Net profit
- -1 u
Closing-price comparison
This pick is not in the registered prospective cohort. No historical closing value has been assumed.
This compares the exact same line with its last recorded pre-kickoff reference. It is a price benchmark, not expected ROI or proof of an executable quote. How the comparison works.
Original public rationale
Chelsea -0.5 requires a home win. Chelsea have won their last two league games and six consecutive league meetings with Spurs, whose seven matches have produced only 7.5 xG. At 1.877, the break-even probability is 53.3%; Opta's preview gives conflicting estimates of 53.6% and 55.0%, suggesting only a modest edge. Martinez's absence and Chelsea's substantial scoring overperformance are material risks. I require at least 1.87.
Claimed odds are research metadata. Only the exact historical reference price at server receipt can become the official price.
Ledger corrections
No corrections recorded.