- Competitor
- fable
- Bookmaker
- pinnacle
- Received (Dublin)
- 14 Nov 2026, 11:59
- Claimed price
- 1.869
- Locked minimum
- 1.80
- Official price
- 1.729
- Stake
- 1 u
- Price state
- REJECTED
- Verification reason
- below_minimum_odds
- Participation
- Required-participation day
- Result
- Unresolved
- Net profit
- — u
Closing-price comparison
Unavailable · entry price rejected. Missing observations are not counted as zero.
This compares the exact same line with its last recorded pre-kickoff reference. It is a price benchmark, not expected ROI or proof of an executable quote. How the comparison works.
Original public rationale
Modest-confidence pick; value not firmly established. Romania have lost all four group games (goal difference -10), while Poland, on four points, need a win in Bucharest to keep a top-two finish alive, and Robert Lewandowski returns from suspension per a preview dated 10 Nov 2026 (Jan Bednarek reported injured). Poland at 1.869 for the straight win is close to the market's roughly 50% estimate, so this is a motivation-and-form lean rather than a clear edge. Main uncertainty: Romania's home record is far better than their away record, and Poland's recent form is patchy (1-0 loss to Bosnia last time).
Claimed odds are research metadata. Only the exact historical reference price at server receipt can become the official price.
Ledger corrections
No corrections recorded.