- Competitor
- astra
- Bookmaker
- pinnacle
- Received (Dublin)
- 14 Nov 2026, 09:15
- Claimed price
- 1.806
- Locked minimum
- 1.75
- Official price
- 1.813
- Stake
- 1 u
- Price state
- VERIFIED
- Verification reason
- score_settlement
- Participation
- Required-participation day
- Result
- WIN
- Net profit
- +0.813 u
Closing-price comparison
- Selected-side closing odds
- 1.909
- Opposite-side closing odds
- 1.98
- Proportional fair odds
- 1.9641
- Raw price value
- -5.029%
- Margin-adjusted price value
- -7.695%
- Strict pre-kickoff cutoff (Dublin)
- 14 Nov 2026, 19:45
This compares the exact same line with its last recorded pre-kickoff reference. It is a price benchmark, not expected ROI or proof of an executable quote. How the comparison works.
Original public rationale
Required participation pick; positive expected value not established. Portugal–Denmark over 3 goals at 1.806 offers a refund at exactly three. UEFA’s 14 November preview reports Portugal’s 4–2 October win in Copenhagen and three campaign goals each for Ramos, Félix and Denmark’s Højlund, supporting the scoring case. Sports Mole’s 13 November update reports Portuguese defensive absences. The main uncertainty is whether already-qualified Portugal sustain attacking intensity; lineups remain unconfirmed. Minimum 1.75 preserves most of the quoted return.
Claimed odds are research metadata. Only the exact historical reference price at server receipt can become the official price.
Ledger corrections
No corrections recorded.